[SMM Weekly Review] This week in new energy hydrometallurgical disassembly recycling: lower raw material prices dragged down the overall recycled materials market
Raw material side: At the start of this week, lithium carbonate prices held around 100,000 yuan/mt; on Wednesday, futures prices fell sharply, and as of October 22, quotes were down roughly 3,000 yuan from the start of the week. Nickel sulphate prices weakened slightly during the week before stabilising, with the decline slowing; cobalt sulphate, pressured by sluggish demand, fell quickly at the start of the week and then gradually stabilised.
By material type, LFP hydrometallurgy recycling side: Taking LFP electrode black mass as an example, battery black mass prices moved lower overall, while electrode black mass prices fluctuated more noticeably due to expectations of falling lithium carbonate and the impact of the LFP repair market. The high-premium sentiment for LFP electrode repair material gradually returned to rationality, and downstream acceptance of current prices per % lithium declined further. However, because front-end powder producers were clearly holding back from selling due to cost support, market tug-of-war sentiment remained strong. Meanwhile, as LFP electrode repair prices gradually converged toward market prices, the price spread between repair material and battery black mass narrowed further, and the spread between LFP electrode black mass and battery black mass has returned to a historically reasonable range. Ternary and LCO recycling side: Ternary electrode black mass payables continued to grind lower as nickel, cobalt, and lithium chemical prices weakened in turn. Affected by the recent decline in cobalt prices and persistently low downstream demand, cobalt payables in some downstream quotes began to show a trend of weakening independently. Cobalt and lithium payables for LCO black mass were similarly dragged down by weaker cobalt and lithium material prices and sluggish cobalt demand, and downstream purchase quotes fell further and more rapidly. However, supported by earlier procurement costs, some holders were unwilling to concede at low prices, resulting in a wide price spread between upstream and downstream quote payables. Market transactions were sluggish, with LCO black mass demand significantly lower than that for LFP and ternary materials.